The effects of taxing carbon emissions on carbon leakage in developing countries
Fixing the leak: The spillover effects of taxing carbon emissions on developing countries
Policies to reduce carbon emissions via taxation and other regulatory tools are key in fighting climate change, yet little is known about their global spillover effects. A particular concern is “carbon leakage”, whereby taxing emissions by firms in the developed world shifts emissions to countries with less strict regulations. This research identifies the local effects on carbon leakage of multinational firms’ operations in Africa. The dataset can be an invaluable tool for policymakers and practitioners in formulating emissions-reduction policies.
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
Publications
Carbon Leakage to Developing Countries
Abstract
How do climate policies in developed countries spill over to the developing world? Using a novel dataset that combines multinational firms’ subsidiary locations with spatial emission data, we study how the carbon footprint of multinational firms in Africa changes in response to more stringent climate policies in Europe. Exploiting variation in multinationals’ exposure to carbon prices across European countries, we find that emissions of their African subsidiaries increase as the multinationals’ European operations face higher carbon prices. At the same time, multinationals reduce their domestic investment in Europe while worldwide investment remains unchanged — consistent with the notion that these firms shift some of their operations abroad. We confirm these results at the aggregate level, documenting a significant increase in economic activity and emissions in Africa. Policies to mitigate leakage should thus balance environmental concerns against development and equity considerations.