The effects of taxing carbon emissions on carbon leakage in developing countries

Fixing the leak: The spillover effects of taxing carbon emissions on developing countries

Policies to reduce carbon emissions via taxation and other regulatory tools are key in fighting climate change, yet little is known about their global spillover effects. A particular concern is “carbon leakage”, whereby taxing emissions by firms in the developed world shifts emissions to countries with less strict regulations. This research identifies the local effects on carbon leakage of multinational firms’ operations in Africa. The dataset can be an invaluable tool for policymakers and practitioners in formulating emissions-reduction policies.

SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

The challenge

Regulatory interventions to combat the climate crisis are at the top of the global policy agenda and governments around the world have introduced policies to reduce carbon emissions via carbon taxes, or cap and trade systems, and other regulatory tools. An important but underexplored question concerns the global spillover effects of these policies. A particular concern is “carbon leakage” – the shift of greenhouse gas emissions from one country to another because of stricter regulation; such carbon-leakage effects could undermine the global policy goal of reducing emissions.

The intervention

This paper studies how taxing carbon emissions by firms in the developed world spills over to developing countries through carbon leakage. The research exploits the cap-and-trade system of the European carbon market, domestic environmental taxes in Europe, and environmental policy stringency in OECD countries and identifies the local effects on carbon leakage using location-specific data on multinational firms’ operations and environmental pollution in Africa. In broad terms, the paper analyses the potential externalities of environmental policy in the developed world on developing countries.

The potential impact

Shedding light on the spillover effects of carbon-reduction policies in developing countries is particularly important, given that carbon-leakage effects could lead to an increase in inequality. This research will create a publicly available database on multinational companies’ global operating footprint paired with localised information on greenhouse gas emissions. This data will be made available for future researchers and allow users to assess global companies’ transparency in ESG matters and their potential carbon footprint; thus the dataset can be an invaluable tool for policymakers and practitioners in formulating emissions-reduction policies.